tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Islip via Orlando: arrives on time 81%

  1. 08:05 BWI → 10:20 MCO
    WN 986 · Southwest · 2h 15m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 48m layover in Orlando (MCO) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:08 MCO → 15:56 ISP
    F9 3942 · Frontier · 2h 48m · 83% on time, 1.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 44 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 78 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 48m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.3% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip7h 51mBWI 08:05 to ISP 15:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.