tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Sacramento via Chicago: arrives on time 68%

  1. 06:10 BWI → 07:10 MDW
    WN 995 · Southwest · 2h 00m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 10m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:20 MDW → 12:40 SMF
    WN 2094 · Southwest · 4h 20m · 70% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 3 h behind Baltimore). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 145 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 10m layover.
Arrives on time68%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (70%).
Total trip9h 30mBWI 06:10 to SMF 12:40, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.