tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Baltimore → Manchester via Chicago: arrives on time 37%

  1. 16:28 BWI → 17:32 MDW
    WN 997 · Southwest · 2h 05m · 66% on time, 3.9% cancelled
  2. 1h 18m layover in Chicago (MDW) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:50 MDW → 21:55 MHT
    WN 4250 · Southwest · 2h 10m · 50% on time, 1.8% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection79%The first flight arrived more than 33 minutes late on 21% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 18m layover.
Arrives on time37%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (79%) × second flight not cancelled (1.8% are) and within 15 minutes (50%).
Total trip5h 32mBWI 16:28 to MHT 21:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.