tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fort Lauderdale → Islip via Baltimore: arrives on time 29%

  1. 17:50 FLL → 20:20 BWI
    WN 999 · Southwest · 2h 30m · 15% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 05m layover in Baltimore (BWI) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:25 BWI → 23:35 ISP
    WN 4321 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 57% on time, 5.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 80 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 05m layover.
Arrives on time29%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (5.3% are) and within 15 minutes (57%).
Total trip5h 50mFLL 17:50 to ISP 23:35, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.