tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dallas-Fort Worth → Louisville via Houston: arrives on time 79%

  1. 14:15 DFW → 15:37 IAH
    UA 3985 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 22m · 71% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 12m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:49 IAH → 22:15 SDF
    UA 4052 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 26m · 84% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 7h 00m, scheduled departure to arrival (Louisville is 1 h ahead of Dallas-Fort Worth). Times are local. Both flew on 49 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 147 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 12m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 00mDFW 14:15 to SDF 22:15, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.