tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Tampa via Houston: arrives on time 57%

  1. 15:00 BHM → 17:12 IAH
    UA 3991 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 12m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 58m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 IAH → 21:29 TPA
    UA 1312 · United · 2h 19m · 77% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 29m, scheduled departure to arrival (Tampa is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 0 of the last 56 days, too few to list among the best connections.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 13 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 58m layover.
Arrives on time57%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip5h 29mBHM 15:00 to TPA 21:29, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.