tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Atlanta → Wichita via Houston: arrives on time 49%

  1. 15:57 ATL → 17:23 IAH
    UA 3992 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 26m · 72% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:16 IAH → 20:12 ICT
    UA 4855 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 56m · 75% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 15m, scheduled departure to arrival (Wichita is 1 h behind Atlanta). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection65%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 35% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time49%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (65%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (75%).
Total trip5h 15mATL 15:57 to ICT 20:12, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.