tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Dallas-Fort Worth via Dulles: arrives on time 50%

  1. 10:26 BDL → 11:55 IAD
    UA 3993 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 29m · 81% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:41 IAD → 15:05 DFW
    UA 1564 · United · 3h 24m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 39m, scheduled departure to arrival (Dallas-Fort Worth is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection64%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 36% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (64%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip5h 39mBDL 10:26 to DFW 15:05, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.