tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Denver via Dulles: arrives on time 61%

  1. 10:26 BDL → 11:55 IAD
    UA 3993 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 29m · 81% on time, 2.3% cancelled
  2. 53m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:48 IAD → 14:42 DEN
    UA 1587 · United · 3h 54m · 92% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 6h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection69%The first flight arrived more than 8 minutes late on 31% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 53m layover.
Arrives on time61%First flight not cancelled (2.3% are) × connection made (69%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (92%).
Total trip6h 16mBDL 10:26 to DEN 14:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.