Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Hartford → Chicago via Dulles: arrives on time 55%

  1. 19:45 BDL → 21:14 IAD
    UA 3999 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 29m · 68% on time, 6.6% cancelled
  2. 1h 06m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:20 IAD → 23:31 ORD
    UA 1738 · United · 2h 11m · 80% on time, 2.2% cancelled

Total trip 4h 46m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Hartford). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 21 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 06m layover.
Arrives on time55%First flight not cancelled (6.6% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (2.2% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip4h 46mBDL 19:45 to ORD 23:31, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.