tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Austin → Charlotte via Houston: arrives on time 42%

  1. 16:10 AUS → 17:25 IAH
    UA 4004 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 15m · 73% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:12 IAH → 21:59 CLT
    UA 2864 · United · 2h 47m · 78% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival (Charlotte is 1 h ahead of Austin). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection54%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 46% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (54%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 49mAUS 16:10 to CLT 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.