tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Birmingham → Detroit via Houston: arrives on time 81%

  1. 06:30 BHM → 08:30 IAH
    UA 4008 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 00m · 85% on time, 1.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 02m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:32 IAH → 15:20 DTW
    DL 1043 · Delta · 2h 48m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Birmingham). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 92 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 02m layover.
Arrives on time81%First flight not cancelled (1.2% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 50mBHM 06:30 to DTW 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.