Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Charlotte → Dayton via Dulles: arrives on time 58%
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10:27 CLT → 11:55 IADUA 4012 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 28m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
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49m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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12:44 IAD → 14:18 DAYUA 4241 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 34m · 84% on time, 0.7% cancelled
Total trip 3h 51m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time58%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip3h 51mCLT 10:27 to DAY 14:18, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.