tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → San Antonio via Houston: arrives on time 48%

  1. 18:40 DTW → 20:50 IAH
    UA 4032 · United, flown by Mesa · 3h 10m · 77% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 IAH → 22:42 SAT
    UA 2198 · United · 1h 02m · 69% on time, 1.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Antonio is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (1.0% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 02mDTW 18:40 to SAT 22:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.