tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Detroit via Houston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:30 XNA → 08:21 IAH
    UA 4051 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 51m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 11m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 11:32 IAH → 15:20 DTW
    DL 1043 · Delta · 2h 48m · 85% on time, 0.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 50m, scheduled departure to arrival (Detroit is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection98%The first flight arrived more than 101 minutes late on 2% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 11m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (98%) × second flight not cancelled (0.8% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 50mXNA 06:30 to DTW 15:20, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.