tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → New York via Houston: arrives on time 74%

  1. 06:30 XNA → 08:21 IAH
    UA 4051 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 51m · 86% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 32m layover in Houston (IAH) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 10:53 IAH → 15:32 LGA
    DL 2140 · Delta · 3h 41m · 82% on time, 6.3% cancelled

Total trip 8h 04m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 62 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 32m layover.
Arrives on time74%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (6.3% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip8h 04mXNA 06:30 to LGA 15:32, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.