tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → San Diego via Dulles: arrives on time 51%

  1. 10:30 CMH → 11:54 IAD
    UA 4056 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:40 IAD → 15:03 SAN
    UA 2163 · United · 5h 23m · 85% on time, 0.4% cancelled

Total trip 7h 33m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Diego is 3 h behind Columbus). Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection61%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 39% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time51%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (61%) × second flight not cancelled (0.4% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 33mCMH 10:30 to SAN 15:03, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.