tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Columbus → Tampa via Dulles: arrives on time 63%

  1. 10:30 CMH → 11:54 IAD
    UA 4056 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 24m · 74% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 55m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:49 IAD → 15:15 TPA
    UA 2277 · United · 2h 26m · 86% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 4h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 10 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (86%).
Total trip4h 45mCMH 10:30 to TPA 15:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.