tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Dulles → Louisville via Charlotte: arrives on time 77%

  1. 08:15 IAD → 09:45 CLT
    UA 4063 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 30m · 62% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 41m layover in Charlotte (CLT) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 13:26 CLT → 15:03 SDF
    AA 5397 · American, flown by PSA · 1h 37m · 79% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 48m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 131 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 41m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (79%).
Total trip6h 48mIAD 08:15 to SDF 15:03, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.