Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Providence → Detroit via Dulles: arrives on time 41%
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19:40 PVD → 21:21 IADUA 4078 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 41m · 73% on time, 3.2% cancelled
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49m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:10 IAD → 23:51 DTWUA 3995 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 41m · 62% on time, 2.9% cancelled
Total trip 4h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 4 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 49m layover.
Arrives on time41%First flight not cancelled (3.2% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (2.9% are) and within 15 minutes (62%).
Total trip4h 11mPVD 19:40 to DTW 23:51, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.