tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Houston → Philadelphia via Detroit: arrives on time 79%

  1. 13:58 IAH → 17:59 DTW
    UA 6131 · United, flown by Mesa · 3h 01m · 89% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 3h 36m layover in Detroit (DTW) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 21:35 DTW → 23:17 PHL
    DL 2402 · Delta · 1h 42m · 81% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 8h 19m, scheduled departure to arrival (Philadelphia is 1 h ahead of Houston). Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 126 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 36m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip8h 19mIAH 13:58 to PHL 23:17, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.