tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Philadelphia via Dulles: arrives on time 45%

  1. 14:46 PVD → 16:34 IAD
    UA 6159 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:35 IAD → 18:54 PHL
    UA 4534 · United, flown by GoJet · 1h 19m · 66% on time, 11.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 32 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection80%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 20% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (80%) × second flight not cancelled (11.1% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip4h 08mPVD 14:46 to PHL 18:54, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.