tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Providence → Charlotte via Dulles: arrives on time 42%

  1. 14:46 PVD → 16:34 IAD
    UA 6159 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 48m · 79% on time, 2.7% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:20 IAD → 19:02 CLT
    UA 6209 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 42m · 73% on time, 5.4% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection62%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 38% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time42%First flight not cancelled (2.7% are) × connection made (62%) × second flight not cancelled (5.4% are) and within 15 minutes (73%).
Total trip4h 16mPVD 14:46 to CLT 19:02, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.