Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Columbia via Dulles: arrives on time 59%

  1. 14:53 CLT → 16:30 IAD
    UA 6203 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 37m · 77% on time, 1.4% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:21 IAD → 19:09 CAE
    UA 4364 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 48m · 82% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 4h 16m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 46 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time59%First flight not cancelled (1.4% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip4h 16mCLT 14:53 to CAE 19:09, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.