Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
New York → San Francisco via Dulles: arrives on time 52%
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19:28 LGA → 20:55 IADUA 6244 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 27m · 69% on time, 14.7% cancelled
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1h 26m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:21 IAD → 01:15 SFO +1 dayUA 367 · United · 5h 54m · 84% on time, 0.6% cancelled
Total trip 8h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (San Francisco is 3 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 41 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 26m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (14.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip8h 47mLGA 19:28 to SFO 01:15, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.