Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

New York → Denver via Dulles: arrives on time 53%

  1. 19:28 LGA → 20:55 IAD
    UA 6244 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 27m · 69% on time, 14.7% cancelled
  2. 1h 28m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 22:23 IAD → 00:30 DEN +1 day
    UA 495 · United · 4h 07m · 84% on time, 0.3% cancelled

Total trip 7h 02m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind New York). Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection73%The first flight arrived more than 43 minutes late on 27% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 28m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (14.7% are) × connection made (73%) × second flight not cancelled (0.3% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip7h 02mLGA 19:28 to DEN 00:30, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.