Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Memphis → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 39%

  1. 18:53 MEM → 20:49 IAH
    UA 6250 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 56m · 79% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 51m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 21:40 IAH → 22:25 PHX
    UA 2432 · United · 2h 45m · 56% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 5h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Memphis). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection70%The first flight arrived more than 6 minutes late on 30% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 51m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (70%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip5h 32mMEM 18:53 to PHX 22:25, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.