tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Miami via Houston: arrives on time 83%

  1. 06:15 SDF → 07:42 IAH
    UA 6266 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 27m · 88% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 4h 18m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 12:00 IAH → 15:47 MIA
    UA 410 · United · 2h 47m · 84% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 9h 32m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 213 minutes late on <1% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 4h 18m layover.
Arrives on time83%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (84%).
Total trip9h 32mSDF 06:15 to MIA 15:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.