tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Columbia via Dulles: arrives on time 65%

  1. 06:00 CLT → 07:29 IAD
    UA 6279 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 29m · 92% on time, 2.6% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:15 IAD → 09:56 CAE
    UA 4818 · United, flown by CommuteAir · 1h 41m · 81% on time, 0.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 50 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection83%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 17% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (2.6% are) × connection made (83%) × second flight not cancelled (0.5% are) and within 15 minutes (81%).
Total trip3h 56mCLT 06:00 to CAE 09:56, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.