tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

St Louis → Sacramento via Houston: arrives on time 90%

  1. 06:14 STL → 08:31 IAH
    UA 6283 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 17m · 85% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 1h 29m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 10:00 IAH → 12:07 SMF
    UA 2773 · United · 4h 07m · 95% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 7h 53m, scheduled departure to arrival (Sacramento is 2 h behind St Louis). Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 44 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 29m layover.
Arrives on time90%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (95%).
Total trip7h 53mSTL 06:14 to SMF 12:07, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.