Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Fayetteville/Springdale/ → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 53%

  1. 17:12 XNA → 19:05 IAH
    UA 6290 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 53m · 83% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 48m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:53 IAH → 20:42 PHX
    UA 2078 · United · 2h 49m · 72% on time, 0.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Fayetteville/Springdale/). Times are local. Both flew on 51 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 3 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 48m layover.
Arrives on time53%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (0.6% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip5h 30mXNA 17:12 to PHX 20:42, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.