tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Las Vegas via Houston: arrives on time 63%

  1. 15:41 SDF → 17:10 IAH
    UA 6310 · United, flown by Mesa · 2h 29m · 78% on time, 0.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 55m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:05 IAH → 21:23 LAS
    UA 1360 · United · 3h 18m · 66% on time, 0.0% cancelled

Total trip 8h 42m, scheduled departure to arrival (Las Vegas is 3 h behind Louisville). Times are local. Both flew on 38 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 130 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 55m layover.
Arrives on time63%First flight not cancelled (0.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (0.0% are) and within 15 minutes (66%).
Total trip8h 42mSDF 15:41 to LAS 21:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.