tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Midland → Phoenix via Houston: arrives on time 82%

  1. 05:00 MAF → 06:37 IAH
    UA 6351 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 37m · 93% on time, 0.5% cancelled
  2. 3h 03m layover in Houston (IAH) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:40 IAH → 10:34 PHX
    UA 1895 · United · 2h 54m · 85% on time, 0.7% cancelled

Total trip 7h 34m, scheduled departure to arrival (Phoenix is 2 h behind Midland). Times are local. Both flew on 47 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 138 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 3h 03m layover.
Arrives on time82%First flight not cancelled (0.5% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (0.7% are) and within 15 minutes (85%).
Total trip7h 34mMAF 05:00 to PHX 10:34, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.