Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026
Detroit → Philadelphia via Dulles: arrives on time 50%
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19:45 DTW → 21:20 IADUA 6362 · United, flown by Mesa · 1h 35m · 78% on time, 3.9% cancelled
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50m layover in Dulles (IAD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
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22:10 IAD → 23:20 PHLUA 3502 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 10m · 76% on time, 5.7% cancelled
Total trip 3h 35m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 35 of the last 56 days.
Makes the connection72%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 28% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time50%First flight not cancelled (3.9% are) × connection made (72%) × second flight not cancelled (5.7% are) and within 15 minutes (76%).
Total trip3h 35mDTW 19:45 to PHL 23:20, layover included
Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.
Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.