tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Detroit via Newark: arrives on time 65%

  1. 14:38 RIC → 16:08 EWR
    UA 3415 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 88% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:10 EWR → 20:23 DTW
    UA 3586 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 80% on time, 7.3% cancelled

Total trip 5h 45m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 77 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time65%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (7.3% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 45mRIC 14:38 to DTW 20:23, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.