tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Louisville → Atlanta via Chicago: arrives on time 75%

  1. 07:15 SDF → 07:56 ORD
    UA 3422 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 90% on time, 1.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 11m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 09:07 ORD → 12:22 ATL
    UA 530 · United · 2h 15m · 82% on time, 1.6% cancelled

Total trip 5h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 48 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection94%The first flight arrived more than 26 minutes late on 6% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 11m layover.
Arrives on time75%First flight not cancelled (1.1% are) × connection made (94%) × second flight not cancelled (1.6% are) and within 15 minutes (82%).
Total trip5h 07mSDF 07:15 to ATL 12:22, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.