tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Chicago → New York via Rochester: arrives on time 80%

  1. 06:45 ORD → 09:37 ROC
    UA 3425 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 52m · 92% on time, 0.0% cancelled
  2. 2h 33m layover in Rochester (ROC) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 12:10 ROC → 13:47 JFK
    B6 485 · JetBlue · 1h 29m · 83% on time, 4.4% cancelled

Total trip 5h 54m, scheduled departure to arrival (New York is 1 h ahead of Chicago). Times are local. Both flew on 24 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 63 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 33m layover.
Arrives on time80%First flight not cancelled (0.0% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (4.4% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip5h 54mORD 06:45 to JFK 13:47, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.