tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charleston → Philadelphia via Chicago: arrives on time 40%

  1. 15:08 CHS → 16:54 ORD
    UA 3426 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 46m · 66% on time, 8.3% cancelled
  2. 1h 05m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 17:59 ORD → 21:19 PHL
    UA 1776 · United · 2h 20m · 61% on time, 2.5% cancelled

Total trip 6h 11m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection74%The first flight arrived more than 20 minutes late on 26% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 05m layover.
Arrives on time40%First flight not cancelled (8.3% are) × connection made (74%) × second flight not cancelled (2.5% are) and within 15 minutes (61%).
Total trip6h 11mCHS 15:08 to PHL 21:19, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.