tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Nashville → Houston via Chicago: arrives on time 52%

  1. 15:01 BNA → 17:04 ORD
    UA 3440 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 03m · 55% on time, 3.3% cancelled
  2. 2h 58m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:02 ORD → 22:59 IAH
    UA 2813 · United · 2h 57m · 56% on time, 2.8% cancelled

Total trip 7h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 30 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 133 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 58m layover.
Arrives on time52%First flight not cancelled (3.3% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.8% are) and within 15 minutes (56%).
Total trip7h 58mBNA 15:01 to IAH 22:59, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.