tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Chicago via Indianapolis: arrives on time 78%

  1. 11:54 EWR → 14:07 IND
    UA 3446 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 13m · 87% on time, 2.2% cancelled
  2. 3h 33m layover in Indianapolis (IND) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 17:40 IND → 17:55 MDW
    WN 961 · Southwest · 1h 15m · 87% on time, 6.1% cancelled

Total trip 7h 01m, scheduled departure to arrival (Chicago is 1 h behind Newark). Times are local. Both flew on 31 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection97%The first flight arrived more than 123 minutes late on 3% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 3h 33m layover.
Arrives on time78%First flight not cancelled (2.2% are) × connection made (97%) × second flight not cancelled (6.1% are) and within 15 minutes (87%).
Total trip7h 01mEWR 11:54 to MDW 17:55, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.