tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Newark → Dulles via Pittsburgh: arrives on time 48%

  1. 17:35 EWR → 19:13 PIT
    UA 3447 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 38m · 80% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 46m layover in Pittsburgh (PIT) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 19:59 PIT → 21:18 IAD
    UA 3449 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 19m · 77% on time, 8.5% cancelled

Total trip 3h 43m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 1 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 46m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (8.5% are) and within 15 minutes (77%).
Total trip3h 43mEWR 17:35 to IAD 21:18, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.