tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Tampa via Newark: arrives on time 45%

  1. 15:52 CLT → 17:58 EWR
    UA 3456 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 77% on time, 13.5% cancelled
  2. 57m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:55 EWR → 21:59 TPA
    UA 1544 · United · 3h 04m · 74% on time, 5.6% cancelled

Total trip 6h 07m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 27 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection75%The first flight arrived more than 12 minutes late on 25% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 57m layover.
Arrives on time45%First flight not cancelled (13.5% are) × connection made (75%) × second flight not cancelled (5.6% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip6h 07mCLT 15:52 to TPA 21:59, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.