tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Portland via Newark: arrives on time 36%

  1. 15:52 CLT → 17:58 EWR
    UA 3456 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 77% on time, 13.5% cancelled
  2. 47m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:45 EWR → 21:48 PDX
    UA 560 · United · 6h 03m · 74% on time, 2.4% cancelled

Total trip 8h 56m, scheduled departure to arrival (Portland is 3 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection57%The first flight arrived more than 2 minutes late on 43% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 47m layover.
Arrives on time36%First flight not cancelled (13.5% are) × connection made (57%) × second flight not cancelled (2.4% are) and within 15 minutes (74%).
Total trip8h 56mCLT 15:52 to PDX 21:48, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.