tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Madison via Newark: arrives on time 48%

  1. 15:52 CLT → 17:58 EWR
    UA 3456 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 06m · 77% on time, 13.5% cancelled
  2. 1h 01m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 18:59 EWR → 20:39 MSN
    UA 3620 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 40m · 80% on time, 8.9% cancelled

Total trip 5h 47m, scheduled departure to arrival (Madison is 1 h behind Charlotte). Times are local. Both flew on 40 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection77%The first flight arrived more than 16 minutes late on 23% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 01m layover.
Arrives on time48%First flight not cancelled (13.5% are) × connection made (77%) × second flight not cancelled (8.9% are) and within 15 minutes (80%).
Total trip5h 47mCLT 15:52 to MSN 20:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.