tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Asheville via Newark: arrives on time 35%

  1. 17:51 CLT → 19:59 EWR
    UA 3468 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 68% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 EWR → 23:15 AVL
    UA 4405 · United, flown by GoJet · 2h 16m · 69% on time, 12.7% cancelled

Total trip 5h 24m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time35%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (12.7% are) and within 15 minutes (69%).
Total trip5h 24mCLT 17:51 to AVL 23:15, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.