tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Charlotte → Buffalo via Newark: arrives on time 39%

  1. 17:51 CLT → 19:59 EWR
    UA 3468 · United, flown by Republic · 2h 08m · 68% on time, 14.1% cancelled
  2. 1h 00m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 EWR → 22:40 BUF
    UA 3476 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 41m · 78% on time, 14.8% cancelled

Total trip 4h 49m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 41 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection68%The first flight arrived more than 15 minutes late on 32% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 1h 00m layover.
Arrives on time39%First flight not cancelled (14.1% are) × connection made (68%) × second flight not cancelled (14.8% are) and within 15 minutes (78%).
Total trip4h 49mCLT 17:51 to BUF 22:40, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.