tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Richmond → Denver via Newark: arrives on time 44%

  1. 18:30 RIC → 20:00 EWR
    UA 3476 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 30m · 72% on time, 12.9% cancelled
  2. 59m layover in Newark (EWR) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 20:59 EWR → 23:28 DEN
    UA 1792 · United · 4h 29m · 72% on time, 1.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 58m, scheduled departure to arrival (Denver is 2 h behind Richmond). Times are local. Both flew on 55 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection71%The first flight arrived more than 14 minutes late on 29% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 59m layover.
Arrives on time44%First flight not cancelled (12.9% are) × connection made (71%) × second flight not cancelled (1.7% are) and within 15 minutes (72%).
Total trip6h 58mRIC 18:30 to DEN 23:28, layover included

Tight connection: often missed. The first flight is late enough to miss it on more than 1 day in 4.

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.