tailodds FORECAST
Connection · two tickets · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Minneapolis via Chicago: arrives on time 84%

  1. 06:00 IND → 06:20 ORD
    UA 3479 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 02m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 90 min minimum on separate tickets
  3. 08:22 ORD → 10:06 MSP
    AA 4162 · American, flown by Envoy · 1h 46m · 91% on time, 1.5% cancelled

Total trip 5h 08m, scheduled departure to arrival (Minneapolis is 1 h behind Indianapolis). Times are local. Both flew on 52 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection95%The first flight arrived more than 32 minutes late on 5% of the days it flew: too late for the 90-minute minimum connection on a 2h 02m layover.
Arrives on time84%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (95%) × second flight not cancelled (1.5% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip5h 08mIND 06:00 to MSP 10:06, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.