tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Indianapolis → Newark via Chicago: arrives on time 79%

  1. 06:00 IND → 06:20 ORD
    UA 3479 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 20m · 93% on time, 0.8% cancelled
  2. 50m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 07:10 ORD → 10:30 EWR
    UA 563 · United · 2h 20m · 91% on time, 1.1% cancelled

Total trip 4h 30m, scheduled departure to arrival. Times are local. Both flew on 56 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection88%The first flight arrived more than 5 minutes late on 12% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 50m layover.
Arrives on time79%First flight not cancelled (0.8% are) × connection made (88%) × second flight not cancelled (1.1% are) and within 15 minutes (91%).
Total trip4h 30mIND 06:00 to EWR 10:30, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.