tailodds FORECAST
Connection · one ticket · schedule Jun 6 – Jul 31, 2026 · records Aug 2025 – Jul 2026

Detroit → Fayetteville/Springdale/ via Chicago: arrives on time 77%

  1. 05:30 DTW → 05:53 ORD
    UA 3483 · United, flown by Republic · 1h 23m · 85% on time, 4.8% cancelled
  2. 2h 47m layover in Chicago (ORD) · 45 min minimum on one ticket
  3. 08:40 ORD → 10:39 XNA
    UA 5407 · United, flown by SkyWest · 1h 59m · 83% on time, 2.7% cancelled

Total trip 6h 09m, scheduled departure to arrival (Fayetteville/Springdale/ is 1 h behind Detroit). Times are local. Both flew on 21 of the last 56 days.

Makes the connection100%The first flight arrived more than 122 minutes late on 0% of the days it flew: too late for the 45-minute minimum connection on a 2h 47m layover.
Arrives on time77%First flight not cancelled (4.8% are) × connection made (100%) × second flight not cancelled (2.7% are) and within 15 minutes (83%).
Total trip6h 09mDTW 05:30 to XNA 10:39, layover included

Not yet counted: the second flight also leaving late (which helps), gate-to-gate distance at the hub, and rebooking after a missed connection.